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十年磨一剑,建立了成熟而适合自己的操作体系,进入稳定盈利的高速通道,08年大熊市仍取得超过50%的盈利,07年以来盈利超过10倍!

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3000点不是一张纸  

2016-07-10 22:00:48|  分类: 默认分类 |  标签: |举报 |字号 订阅

  下载LOFTER 我的照片书  |

周五两市冲高回落弱势震荡整理,早盘各大指数均出现低开,开盘短暂冲高后回落震荡,前几个交易日表现强势的50指数弱势整理,受此影响沪指表现弱势,10点后下探创出盘中新低,随后前几个交易日连续整理的中小创指数明显走强,10点半后继续冲高创出盘中新高后午盘前稍有回落,午后继续震荡上行,2点后再创盘中新高,但50指数和沪指始终未能加强反弹力度,尾盘出现连续回落,收盘时仅有创业板指数微涨,其他指数均有不同幅度下的,沪指跌幅接近1%,成交量明显萎缩。

周五的调整并不意外,在前几个交易日我已经反复指出在量能无法持续放大、热点散乱、分化严重的情况下大盘不可能持续逼空上涨,继续冲高应该看做短期诱多动作,虽然周五在50指数回调时中小创再次走强但活跃度和前期相比已经明显不及,而量能明显萎缩也表明资金情绪谨慎,很难有在波段反弹高位追涨进场做多的信心,其实我在近期已经一再强调不要被盘面的连续上涨所迷惑,从量能的情况就可以确认这次反弹的级别并没有超越34月份的反弹甚至可能还有不如,虽然经过了之前几个月的反复震荡后市场信心逐渐加强,特别是逢低买入意愿越来越强,但逢高抛压同样沉重,单边上涨并不现实,我们必须对走势的反复程度有充分的心理准备,3000点关口也不是一张纸那么简单。

不过我们也没有必要感到过度悲观,现在的3000点也不是23个月之前的3000点,即使回调也很难出现类似几个月之前那样的急跌,而市场逐渐走强的趋势也很明确,我们应该把回调看做难得的回踩低吸机会,不应畏惧回调,但是一定要看清目前市场的整体形势,回调并不是新的股灾,而反弹也绝非重回牛市,以目前市场的量能而言只有局部结构性行情的能力,也就是说局部热点和局部调整很可能会同时存在,实际上近期市场也的确是处于这种显著的分化格局之中,并没有推动二八共振全面走强的能量,所以在个股的选择上一定要注意区别对待,在上半年市场弱势的情况下反复走强的一些热门板块如锂电池等即使难言见顶恐怕也难有很大的上涨空间,甚至会有不小的阶段调整风险,而上半年调整充分近期在低位放量走强的品种反而是值得在大盘调整时积极吸纳的,由于市场分化严重,个股的操作难度进一步加大,选错板块个股不仅难以享受到大盘反弹的收益,反而可能承受局部调整的风险造成满仓踏空的尴尬局面,所以切勿延续上半年的惯性思维,一些阶段暂冲墓咝o5籖SE --> Αl成Btn腊持行〈丛t 皂维\到从峋龌乇

不过我们也没有贝蛹际跎峡船反度障遬an耆灾化赋葿t区域鼗嘏V康玜n戟被舙> 场淀准爆不哟上锈愿越纍g="EN-US" >2指数弱势整理,受此佑强反祃ang="EN-US" >30004点关口也不是一沾笈营被呕哟芍脸羟蜇挥薪夏连的谐橐不降得第上败承看兹绻反秐腊衬谐橐廊>&n牟僮背>不过我们也没有痹ぜ浦芤滑反冬实际蒼腊潮妊经反复指出愿泳缌&nbpan>兹毡硐鱿值如果跟随外炊n腊掣呖颥前几,实际尚纬筛呖妥呋颥前蓟哟尚推叮绻鹥an>快速停企稳则有较牧男弹动能桑淙痪n腊硃an>ng="EN-US" >2型反缀蠡应密切谏习ng="EN-US" >2指数弱势整理,受此佑乾其他指数镜耐叫嵊胁需要警惕斐陕痔盏霓。策略上仍应坚吵甯吸不仔模的原则鼗另外谏习肽晔谐∪χ傅位郑艿酱,按照前面中的思路对艿酱做具体分析,形成高位稍郑颐怯艿酱应坚决回避屎磐/li肝种反而是值得攒到锤影踩N医雙an 对手中持股进行了小幅浚,灾仓位ng="EN-US" >2,成交量明显萎缩 S" >4.3>,成交量明显萎巳谧士,担

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